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Southwest Drought Summit


A “Southwest Drought Summit” will be held at NAU May 12-13, 2003 to bring together regional experts and decision makers to assess drought impacts and potential response scenarios. An emerging concern is that the drought may be the long-term norm and the Southwest is emerging from an unusual “wet” period of several decades. The environmental consequences of a new precipitation regime have tremendous policy implications for municipal, regional and land management decision makers.

We propose a unique and proactive strategy to address emerging water and land management issues. Our goal is to synthesize current scientific and policy information and engage scientists and decision makers in the process. An oft-cited complaint from the scientific community is that science is undervalued in policy making. Policy makers have observed that scientific information is complex and inaccessible to decision makers. This summit seeks to make useful, substantive scientific information accessible and useful for decision makers.

Summit participants will complete three important goals

  1. Synthesize data on the drought that both analyzes current conditions, and predict future conditions for northern Arizona ecosystems.
     
  2. Assess the drought from a long-term climatic perspective. What can we learn from the past to predict the future? How long can we expect the drought to last? Is this a return to a “normal” precipitation regime?
     
  3. Consider long-term strategies that may involve modifying land management and water-use policies in order to maintain future sustainability. Propose alternative scenarios for five-year to thirty-year policy plans.

Format
The first day of the summit will involve environmental science and policy experts from universities and agencies sharing information on drought impacts and assessing long-term climate scenarios. Topical presentations will precede cross-disciplinary working groups whose charge is to distill information and highlight implications that may be useful for decision makers. Scientists working in concert with policy people will parse out salient points and try to use language that is meaningful and applicable.

The second day will start with a synthesis presentation from the first-day findings to federal, tribal, state, county and city decision makers. The charge for this group is to discuss the issues, ask clarifying questions and identifies potential areas of concern or policy changes that can anticipate mitigate and/or avoid crises driven decision-making. We anticipate a white paper that can be published for wider distribution throughout the region. We are urging both short-term and long-term consideration of the drought and any impacts that will affect management plans.

How to Participate
Interested persons can register and find updated information at http://www.mpcer.nau.edu/megadrought/index.html


Summit Coordinators
Neil Cobb - Neil.Cobb@nau.edu, 928-523-5528 (Ecology & Climatology).
David Ostergren - David.Ostergren@nau.edu,  928-523-0701 (Environmental Policy).
Charles Schinger - Charles.Schlinger@nau.edu,  928-523-0652 (Hydrology & Water Policy)
 

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Center for Sustainable Environments
at Northern Arizona University
PO Box 5765
Flagstaff, AZ 86011
Phone: (928) 523-0637
Fax (928) 523-8223
We are part of the
College of Engineering and Natural Sciences

Last updated January 16, 2007